Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 2943.121702 3180.928862 3421.882663 3683.982428 3960.720017 4243.903263 4555.257697
2024-12-22 2524.840149 2875.467032 3244.156839 3659.504403 4113.139476 4592.321907 5135.507735
2024-12-29 2320.352018 2745.219557 3204.059068 3733.886577 4326.232561 4965.547224 5705.129921
2025-01-05 2135.182947 2610.623647 3135.936932 3755.259671 4461.199439 5236.631298 6148.504810
2025-01-12 1973.868961 2486.393672 3064.418116 3758.549192 4563.272893 5460.747524 6531.031720
2025-01-19 1773.559367 2301.724363 2909.650269 3652.986242 4529.005706 5520.320463 6718.336571
2025-01-26 1719.878736 2285.373991 2946.773401 3766.911311 4745.702106 5865.657997 7232.792784
2025-02-02 1652.323883 2246.574108 2952.441379 3839.536993 4910.965793 6149.766070 7676.218557
2025-02-09 1555.016403 2164.859392 2900.816718 3838.391802 4984.473297 6323.436469 7988.705577
2025-02-16 1454.357990 2073.130524 2831.704886 3811.100539 5022.400260 6451.859442 8245.615698
2025-02-23 1394.623267 2030.110222 2820.066055 3851.970103 5141.233523 6675.930058 8616.512015
2025-03-02 1317.544439 1960.399965 2771.125689 3842.987682 5196.142548 6821.118939 8891.769285
2025-03-09 1274.389324 1934.603395 2778.224098 3905.760640 5342.494353 7081.398130 9312.411470
2025-03-16 1196.821078 1858.996997 2717.849147 3879.886626 5376.062276 7202.740027 9564.143138
2025-03-23 1166.900378 1846.509855 2738.637817 3957.566549 5539.996664 7485.291962 10014.994283
2025-03-30 1117.630947 1804.653567 2718.327568 3979.883559 5632.139145 7678.127156 10355.499250
2025-04-06 1064.630440 1754.933216 2685.189296 3983.318235 5698.529107 7837.941457 10655.011892
2025-04-13 974.179921 1647.413630 2569.550525 3873.080475 5613.909800 7804.316849 10710.062960
2025-04-20 969.378295 1663.939226 2624.318518 3992.049195 5829.811542 8153.710165 11249.569867
2025-04-27 950.294871 1658.314780 2647.538712 4067.869398 5989.049135 8431.567768 11700.319171
2025-05-04 906.966050 1614.503533 2615.467991 4066.673957 6045.158068 8576.587320 11982.529689
2025-05-11 857.496471 1559.135019 2564.965474 4038.184025 6063.297376 8671.585138 12200.466390
2025-05-18 832.669269 1540.479953 2566.140261 4080.847810 6176.829334 8890.719719 12578.754654